Unlock the secrets of the market’s current trajectory with our esteemed guest, Michael Kantrowitz, Chief Investment Strategist at Piper Sandler. This episode is a treasure trove for investors seeking clarity in these unpredictable times. Michael unravels the market’s recent shift from bearish to bullish sentiments, attributing it to a dovish Federal Reserve and softer economic data. His expert analysis promises to guide you through the complexities of stocks positively correlated to bond yields and the ones boasting strong earnings outlooks and balance sheets. Prepare for a masterclass in discerning the market floor amidst volatility, as Michael shares his conviction that the Fed’s rate hikes have topped out and that a moderated earnings growth is on the horizon.
Navigate the intricacies of equity and bond market correlations with a focus on strategic investment decisions. We dissect the HOPE sequence—Housing, Orders, Profits, Employment—to distill the health of the market and provide a nuanced perspective on interpreting economic indicators. This isn’t just theory; it’s about providing you with actionable insights, particularly during earnings season, when company-specific news can be at odds with the broader economic narrative. We unravel the earnings growth projections for the S&P 500 and explain why a select few stocks can significantly influence these outcomes. Michael’s analysis is a must-hear for investors looking to align their equity portfolios with the ebb and flow of bond market exposure.
Concluding our conversation, we’re joined by Michael Kantrowitz of Piper Sandler, who weighs in on the vital role of IPOs and the need for a more robust roster of public companies. Whether you’re an institutional analyst or a portfolio manager, this episode is packed with deep dives into market outlooks, risks, and the controversial nuances of equity buybacks—a truly comprehensive discussion that savvy investors won’t want to miss.
Join us live! Visit https://www.getthinktanked.com to register free.
Chapter Markers:
00:00
09:09 Strategies for Playing the Bond Market
21:30 Interpreting Economic Indicators and Market Trends
26:27 Seasonality, QRA, and International Data Discussion
34:30 Market Outlook and Risks in 2023
45:24 Market Outlook and Buybacks in Equities
56:37 Importance of IPOs and Public Companies
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